The computer processors continue to astound everyone by coming up with even smaller versions, with Intel's latest addition of the 45 nanometer processors that hold 820 million transistors. Size does matter as sixty years since transistors were invented and just 35 years since the first processor was developed which boasted of 2000 transistors, the technology is reportedly reaching the physical limits of miniaturization. Does this mean the Moore's law which states that the number of transistors per square inch of integrated circuits will continue to double every year still be possible? What is for sure is that the exponential growth of the transistors in a chip will become increasingly difficult to maintain. What Moore had projected was because of constant innovation in technology, it was possible to manufacture more at less costs than before.
The Moore's law was modified in the 1990's to say that computing power at fixed cost will double every 18 months. This is a departure from the earlier boom and bust cycle that characterized conventional business models.
So what's going on here? Are they changing a stated law by a miniature scale so that it escapes the eye? What if the claim of technologies what we're reached the limit of miniaturization turns out to be true? The global economies regular pattern of showing linear growth will take a hit. That is unless, another completely new technology replaces the old one, and by doing so, once again revive Moore's law in a different way.
That seems like the most possible future for computers. The limitations of size are drawing very to a close. Intel already has plans for a 32 nanometer chips by end of 2009 and maybe even head to fewer than 30’s for a few more years but soon after a change is inevitable. Maybe the very engine that's driving the digital revolution – the integrated silicion circuts – gets replaced by a far more sophisticated technology that has the potential to grow even faster that the previous one. The near future can see the coming of tri-gate transistors still being researched with the Intel co-corporation or on processors based on quantum computing or dna powered chips. Phase 1 of the computing revolution is finally coming to a close and we can do is wait and watch to see what is unveiled next.
The Moore's law was modified in the 1990's to say that computing power at fixed cost will double every 18 months. This is a departure from the earlier boom and bust cycle that characterized conventional business models.
So what's going on here? Are they changing a stated law by a miniature scale so that it escapes the eye? What if the claim of technologies what we're reached the limit of miniaturization turns out to be true? The global economies regular pattern of showing linear growth will take a hit. That is unless, another completely new technology replaces the old one, and by doing so, once again revive Moore's law in a different way.
That seems like the most possible future for computers. The limitations of size are drawing very to a close. Intel already has plans for a 32 nanometer chips by end of 2009 and maybe even head to fewer than 30’s for a few more years but soon after a change is inevitable. Maybe the very engine that's driving the digital revolution – the integrated silicion circuts – gets replaced by a far more sophisticated technology that has the potential to grow even faster that the previous one. The near future can see the coming of tri-gate transistors still being researched with the Intel co-corporation or on processors based on quantum computing or dna powered chips. Phase 1 of the computing revolution is finally coming to a close and we can do is wait and watch to see what is unveiled next.
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